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Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Small Caps have been packing a punch, and that could be big for the market
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One needn’t be a fan of Ant-Man and The Wasp to appreciate small things can pack a powerful punch. As it is with superheroes, so it is with stocks.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Headwinds in Global Growth Outlook, but a Smooth Landing Expected
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Global growth outlooks are the weakest since the recession and the U.S.-China trade deal may be delayed through the new year. Meanwhile the FOMC is likely to remain on hold in December.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: The US continues to lead the global equity market race
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When it comes to the global equity market race, well, it hasn’t been much of a race. With US equities – as measured by the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) – up 254% over the past 10 years and 18% in 2019 vs. developed international equities – as measured by the MSCI EAFE Index – up 74% and 10% and emerging international equities – as measured by the MSCI EM Index – up 90% and 7%, respectively, through the end of August.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: ECB Easing and Trade De-escalation Boost Markets
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The three things you need to know this week: More signs are pointing to U.S.-China trade war de-escalation, ECB launches new stimulus and the PBOC cuts required reserve ratios.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Was that big market drop really so big? Why context is key.
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Context is key to analyzing and understanding the economy and markets and making informed decisions that lead to successful investment outcomes. Nowhere is context more important than near-term stock market moves, particularly when it comes to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (the Dow).
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: U.S. Consumer Holding Up; Global Manufacturing Still Weak
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The three things you need to know this week: Fed Beige Book cites U.S. consumption holding up well, bad Chinese debts continue to rise and a U.K Parliamentary shakeup amid Brexit.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Don’t get down if the markets aren’t dancing in September
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It’s been a positive – if somewhat bumpy – year for US equities, with the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) up about 17% in 2019, despite pullbacks of about 7% in May and August. The robust performance of the US stock market isn’t surprising given the US economy has grown about 2.5% year-to-date, corporate profits are up year over year (albeit modestly), unemployment is low, consumer confidence is high, and inflation is muted.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: One thing we are NOT worried about today
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There are many issues that have investors concerned as we are set to say goodbye to summer, including a flat to partially inverted yield curve, deteriorating US/ China relations, and a slowdown in manufacturing activity in the US and around the world. As we previously wrote, we don’t believe the yield curve is indicating a recession is imminent and we do believe the US and China will eventually solve for trade, an outcome which should prove to be a positive catalyst for manufacturing globally.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Manufacturing Sector Contracts
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The three things you need to know this week: U.S. budget deficit projections raised, the Italian Prime Minister resigns and leading indicators continue to show manufacturing.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: It feels like Groundhog Day… Bill Murray, trade, tariffs, and the markets
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In the film Groundhog Day, Bill Murray plays TV weatherman Phil Connors who, against his wishes, is sent to report on the annual Groundhog Day event in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania and, while there, relives Groundhog Day again, and again and again with an eye toward his having the perspective and the time to become a better person, which he eventually does.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Inversion Obsession
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The three things you need to know this week: Yield curve briefly inverts, some U.S. tariffs are delayed and ECB stimulus expectations rise amid fears of a sustained slowdown.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Bizarro bonds – guaranteed to lose you money, and not just in a comic strip
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Fans of Superman – or Seinfeld – may be familiar with Bizarro World, a cubed planet far out in space that is inhabited by imperfect duplicates of Superman, Lois Lane, and their friends. In a nutshell, on Bizarro – relative to earth – up is down, hot is cold, good is bad, and beautiful is ugly.