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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Inflation: beyond near-term volatility
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Inflation looks set to overshoot the Fed’s target as we have expected. Yet we see uncertainties around the near-term persistence of the overshoot as the restart leads to unusual supply and demand dynamics.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we remain pro-risk
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A powerful economic restart is underway in the U.S. – with Europe and emerging markets (EMs) set to follow. At the same time our new nominal theme has been playing out, with a hefty jump in inflation expectations but a more muted rise in nominal yields. Against this backdrop, we reiterate our pro-risk stance and refine our tactical views in response to adjustments in market pricing and valuations.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Optimism waivers despite solid economic news
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Most global equity markets declined modestly last week as investors grappled with headlines that alternated between improving economic data and rising global COVID-19 case counts. In the U.S., the S&P 500, DJIA and NASDAQ each fell by less than 0.5%. The same was true for the MSCI EAFE and ACWI ex-US indexes while their emerging market counterpart gained 0.4%, despite the rapidly deteriorating health care situation in India.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Equities reach record high on strong economic data
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Stronger-than-expected economic news propelled stocks to new highs last week. Lower Treasury yields helped drive the outperformance of growth and momentum styles after those areas of the market meaningfully lagged value in the first quarter. The biggest sector winners this week were utilities, materials and health care, which each gained 3% or more. No sectors posted negative returns for the week.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we like emerging market assets
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We see the economic restart and greater stability in U.S. government bond yields - as indicated by our new nominal theme - supporting emerging market assets over coming months. Their valuations appear relatively attractive in a world of low yields after a choppy start to the year.
Market Outlooks
Student of the Market: April Edition
Stay on top of changing market environments by learning from their historical parallels.