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Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: The Coronavirus: History may not repeat, but it does rhyme
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By their nature, exogenous shocks are impossible to model for – we simply don’t know when to expect the unexpected. As exogenous shocks occur, investors will understandably seek to discern their ultimate impact on the economy and the stock market.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: U.S. dollar underpins EM assets
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We see the U.S. dollar stabilizing or weakening over the next six to 12 months. Two broad drivers – monetary policy differentials and risk appetite – decide the dollar’s moves, in our view.
Market Outlooks
2020 Market Outlook: Recession Risks or Market Myths?
While questions surrounding the pace of U.S. economic growth linger, how can investors distinguish recession risks from market myths? Read Chief Investment Officer Sean Clark's 2020 Market Outlook commentary to see what risks and opportunities investors face in the year ahead.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Our “20/20 vision”
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To say investors have had a few things vying for their attention these past few weeks might be the understatement of our brand new year. Consider that so far in January we have seen the market consistently hit all-time highs; the US and Iran approach the brink of war; the Phase 1 US/China trade agreement signed; the “New NAFTA” or USMCA pass the Senate, and that same Senate launch the impeachment trial of President Trump.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: A cyclical rotation
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Markets have greeted the new year with optimism. The signing of a limited “Phase 1” deal between the U.S. and China reinforces our expectation for global trade tensions to take a pause in 2020.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Stocks rise as they shrug off geopolitical risks
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The world and market attention last week was focused on the U.S. strike against Iran and mounting tensions in the Middle East. Yet markets largely looked past geopolitical risks and started 2020 on a strong note.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Geopolitical risks on our 2020 radar
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U.S.-Iran tensions have spiked in recent weeks with the U.S. killing of a top Iranian military leader triggering retaliation. This reminds us of still heightened geopolitical risks across many dimensions, even as we see a relatively benign backdrop for risk assets in 2020.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: The US, Iran, oil, and the economy... Where do we go from here?
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We have been asked often what we think of US/Iranian hostilities, including how that dynamic might develop and how it might impact the economy. Truth be told, an investment professional should be reluctant to opine on any budding global conflict since discerning the direction it will take is notoriously difficult and it is a bit unseemly to speak of economic growth and financial assets while our troops are in harm’s way.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Guide to our 2020 outlook
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We see a big shift in the macro environment in the year ahead – as the dovish monetary policy pivot of 2019 fades as a market driver. We detail these views in our 2020 Global outlook.