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Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Was that big market drop really so big? Why context is key.
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Context is key to analyzing and understanding the economy and markets and making informed decisions that lead to successful investment outcomes. Nowhere is context more important than near-term stock market moves, particularly when it comes to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (the Dow).
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: UK political upheaval: market implications
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We identified geopolitical risk as the key market driver in the second half of 2019 in our midyear investment outlook. The UK is the latest example, where deep divisions over a potential Brexit have unsettled the political landscape, paving the way for a broader set of potential outcomes.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields decline amid risk-on sentiment
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U.S. Treasury yields closed slightly lower last week, with less volatile intra-week shifts. Longer maturities led the decline, and the yield curve flattened further.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Trade tensions continue to cause economic damage
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A sense of easing in the ongoing U.S./China trade dispute helped investor sentiment last week, as did an overall feeling that prices may have fallen too far too quickly. Equities rallied last week, breaking a four-week losing streak, with the S&P 500 Index climbing 2.8%.1
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Don’t get down if the markets aren’t dancing in September
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It’s been a positive – if somewhat bumpy – year for US equities, with the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) up about 17% in 2019, despite pullbacks of about 7% in May and August. The robust performance of the US stock market isn’t surprising given the US economy has grown about 2.5% year-to-date, corporate profits are up year over year (albeit modestly), unemployment is low, consumer confidence is high, and inflation is muted.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Back to school: our themes put to the test
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U.S.-China trade tensions have escalated, echoing our midyear outlook protectionist push theme, and bond yields have fallen to new lows. We do not see a near-term recession, with no clear signs of financial vulnerabilities and central banks helping extend the cycle.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields mixed due to global trade and the Fed
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U.S. Treasury yields closed mixed last week, with the 2-year ending higher and longer maturities unchanged or slightly lower. But the weekly change masked intra-week volatility. Friday saw the biggest shift, in response to China’s announcement of retaliatory tariffs.