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Fixed Income Insights
ISG Insight: A mostly benign outlook for US inflation
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The stabilisation of US economic growth amid unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus has raised questions about the likelihood of inflation returning. Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, and Andrew Mulliner, Global Bonds Portfolio Manager, both members of the Fixed Income ISG, explain why they do not see significant risks of sustained higher inflation materialising in the next few years, though caution that short-term spikes are possible and investors should evaluate the diversity that their fixed income portfolios provide.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Positive risk sentiment buoys Treasury yields
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Long U.S. Treasury yields ended modestly higher, while shorter maturity yields were nearly unchanged to slightly lower. Investors were optimistic about continued progress toward a coronavirus vaccine and an orderly transfer of U.S. political power. In reference to its asset-purchase programs, the Federal Reserve (Fed) acknowledged, “…circumstances could shift to warrant such adjustments.”
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Accelerating coronavirus cases suppress Treasury yields
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U.S. Treasury yields closed lower last week, led by longer maturities. Despite positive news on possible vaccine progress, investors were focused on the potential near-term damage from surging virus cases across the globe. A public dispute between the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve (Fed) about the Fed’s lending facilities also undermined investor confidence.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Investor optimism pushes Treasury yields higher
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U.S. Treasury yields rose last week, as U.S. election results became clearer and Pfizer announced encouraging news about its COVID-19 vaccine trials. A somber mood later in the week offset a portion of the earlier increase, as virus cases rose across the globe and fears of increased lock-down measures intensified.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields decline as the U.S. election is closer than expected
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U.S. Treasury yields declined last week, led by longer maturities. Yields decreased and the yield curve flattened on Wednesday, as investors struggled to adjust to the tumultuous U.S. presidential election. While prospects for a large fiscal stimulus package dimmed as a result of what will likely be divided government, this did not damage a constructive market sentiment that persisted all week.
Investing Ideas
Guide to ESG Investing
Even through the downturn in early 2020, you may have noticed clients still considering investments in line with their Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) values. Our four-step guide provides a framework for discussing sustainable investing as part of your financial planning process.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise despite surging virus cases
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Longer U.S. Treasury rates rose last week, while shorter maturities were unchanged or slightly lower. Market expectations for growth and inflation have been rising on hopes of a large stimulus package early next year.