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Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: U.S. equity allocations amid earnings and economic uncertainty
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Thanks in large part to this year’s U.S. equity market rally, the S&P 500 Index’s price/earnings (P/E) multiple has expanded by 6.8% in 2023 through September (based on 12-month forward earnings). The S&P 500 returned 13.1% during this period, with earnings growth expectations up 4.1% (Figure 2).
Market Outlooks
The High Probability of Recession in Europe Likely Will Burden Equities
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Higher interest rates, rising energy prices and plummeting credit are likely pushing the European economy into recession. Chief Investment Strategist for EMEA and APAC Wouter Sturkenboom, CFA, analyzes the global forces affecting Europe and explains how we’re positioned in our portfolios.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields march generally higher
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10-year U.S. Treasury yields rose again, though shorter yields declined. U.S. core PCE inflation came in close to expectations, but still showed an impressive deceleration.
Market Outlooks
Global Investment Committee Q4 2023 Outlooking: Investing in a late-cycle world
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Nuveen’s Global Investment Committee offers our outlook for 4Q 2023, with a focus on asset allocation views, our best ideas across asset class and portfolio construction themes.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise as the Fed holds steady
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U.S. Treasury yields rose again on strong inflation data. The U.S. Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged as expected, but the guidance for future policy was more hawkish than anticipated.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: A home for real estate in multi-asset portfolios
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In our view, an allocation to real estate remains essential in a multi-asset portfolio.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: Equities May Stumble over Rising U.S. Earnings Expectations
Increasing market expectations for U.S. earnings growth over the next two years have backed large-cap equities. Chief Investment Strategist for North America Chris Shipley examines the assumptions underlying earnings estimates and why the market may be in for disappointment.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise again on stronger inflation data
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U.S. Treasury yields rose again after U.S. consumer price inflation surprised marginally to the upside. The European Central Bank (ECB) delivered a dovish hike last week, and all eyes are on the U.S. Federal Reserve this week.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Expanding the horizons of your equity portfolio
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Within non-U.S. developed equities, Japan and the U.K. are two markets where compelling valuations and, in our view, easy-to-beat growth expectations are setting up a strong backdrop.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Economic data drive Treasury yields higher
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U.S. Treasury yields rose once again, as U.S. economic growth remains strong. U.S. Federal Reserve officials indicated that monetary policy is sufficiently restrictive, while emphasizing the need to monitor incoming data.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: A durable case for duration
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One way to do this is by adding to investment grade corporate bonds, which have relatively longer durations than the broader fixed income market. They are also currently yielding close to 6%, and defaults are expected to remain low.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise as the Fed leans hawkish
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U.S. Treasury yields rose again as U.S. economic growth remains strong and U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Powell delivered hawkish comments at the Jackson Hole conference.