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Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Deal or No Deal?
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Several nations around the world await deals, whether it is another fiscal stimulus package or a trade agreement between the U.K. and EU. Global inflation data is likely to remain contained, and U.S. September retail sales are expected to post another modest rise.
Market Outlooks
U.S. Presidential Elections and Stock Markets
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Historically, market returns helped predict presidential election outcomes, but using election dates for market timing is inconclusive.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Impact of COVID-19 on Commercial Real Estate Capital Markets
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While the Global Financial Crisis indiscriminately impacted volumes and pricing across commercial property types, the impact of the pandemic on capital markets, has been more selective, widening the gulf between “winner” and “loser” property types.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Promising Update on the Vaccine we are All Waiting for
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We believe there is good reason to be optimistic. The global effort to develop a vaccine for COVID-19 has progressed at an incredible speed and is breathtaking when put in the context of vaccine development, which typically takes around a decade.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Macro Update: TikTok on the Clock, Now Don’t Let Fiscal Stimulus Stop
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TikTok may be the tip of the iceberg as the U.S. recommends tech companies remove Chinese apps from their app stores. Uncertainty around the next stimulus package may continue to weigh on consumer spending as we expect weaker data for July.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: ESG in Mining: A Quiet Revolution is Surfacing
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But the advances underway are rapidly making the industry safer, more efficient and more sustainable.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Trough Is In—Let The Healing Begin
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While there is still a long path to recovery, global June flash PMIs confirmed we have passed the trough as contraction eased. The U.S. Employment report will be released next week, and the pressure is on for Britain and Japan to come up with a deal.
Market Outlooks
Global Asset Allocation Viewpoints and Investment Environment
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Pledges of fiscal spending have been quick to follow actions taken by major central banks to combat the looming impacts of the coronavirus pandemic. G-20 countries have pledged more than $5 trillion USD in stimulus through a wide range of avenues to stave off the effects on the global economy.
Fixed Income Insights
CLOs: Volatility Continues, But Value Opportunities Emerge
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As macro volatility continued to pummel markets throughout the first quarter, CLOs felt the effects—with dramatic price moves among tranches as investors clamored for liquidity. But we believe that those who invest with an active manager and take a long-term view will benefit.
Fixed Income Insights
High Yield: Finding Value in a Landscape Rife with Risk
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Concerns surrounding COVID-19, lower oil prices and a global recession have weighed heavily on markets—including global high yield bonds and leveraged loans. While value opportunities are emerging, the landscape is punctuated with risks that must be carefully navigated.
Fixed Income Insights
Investment Grade Credit Markets Make an About-Face
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As investment grade markets pivot sharply, with spreads reaching their widest level in over a decade, investors turn disproportionately toward quality and liquidity.
Fixed Income Insights
Distressed Debt: Despite Challenges, Opportunities Persist
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Recent market and economic volatility may be the trigger that distressed debt investors have been waiting for, but capitalizing on opportunities will require a different playbook than those of past cycles.