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Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Fed ready to rein in but not reverse rates
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In the first quarter, our Global Investment Committee upgraded its outlook on emerging markets equity and debt, a view we still hold. Last week’s likely pause in Fed rate hikes could be a catalyst for further weakening of the U.S. dollar, which has already declined about 6% from its October 2022 high relative to EM currencies.
Market Outlooks
The Fed hikes once more
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Tony Rodriguez summarizes the outcome of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve meeting.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields fall, awaiting a last Fed hike
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U.S. Treasury yields fell amid mixed U.S. economic data ahead of this week’s U.S. Federal Reserve meeting.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Opportunities for when the Fed’s recession knocks
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This anticipated environment of interest rate stability could (we hope and expect) create attractive opportunities in the taxable fixed income arena. In particular, we favor spread sectors that offer compelling yields that should avoid excessive spread widening — even during the mild recession we anticipate will occur later in 2023.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields continue their climb higher
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U.S. Treasury yields rose again on stronger economic data in the U.S. In addition, inflation in the UK also surprised substantially to the upside, pushing global developed market bond yields higher.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: When rates are steady, munis will be ready
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Across the municipal bond landscape, we prefer pairing credit risk with duration risk.