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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Central banks tightening from all sides
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Markets are rallying on hopes policy tightening is nearing an end – prematurely, in our view.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Recession eclipses U.S. midterm result
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Equities usually do well after U.S. midterms. Why? Gridlock is common and prevents policy change that could spook stocks.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: No recession cover in sovereign bonds
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Recession fears are roiling markets. Investors traditionally take cover in sovereign bonds, but we see this recession playbook as obsolete. Why? First, central banks are hiking rates to try to tame inflation, causing recessions.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Infrastructure: taking the long view
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Rapid rate hikes are hitting markets now and will likely spark a recession, but we eventually see central banks stopping and living with inflation.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: We keep risk low amid volatile macro
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We’ve said a period of steady growth and inflation known as the Great Moderation is over – and made this central to our investment views.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Sour Fed growth view not dour enough
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Many central banks, like the Fed, are still solely focused on pressure to quickly get core inflation back to 2% without fully acknowledging how much economic pain it will take in a world shaped by production constraints.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Sticking with reduced risk taking
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The new regime of macro volatility is playing out. Business activity is slumping and higher inflation persists.