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Market Outlooks
Our Global Convictions: Why We’re Staying Off the Sidelines
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Despite uncertainty around upcoming elections and the ongoing pandemic, we continue to find assets we believe can deliver attractive returns over the long term. Philip Straehl, Global Head of Research, Investment Management, and Edward Fane, Portfolio Manager, discuss the macro reward-for-risk picture and why we like certain asset classes.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Deal or No Deal?
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Several nations around the world await deals, whether it is another fiscal stimulus package or a trade agreement between the U.K. and EU. Global inflation data is likely to remain contained, and U.S. September retail sales are expected to post another modest rise.
Market Outlooks
U.S. Presidential Elections and Stock Markets
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Historically, market returns helped predict presidential election outcomes, but using election dates for market timing is inconclusive.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Impact of COVID-19 on Commercial Real Estate Capital Markets
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While the Global Financial Crisis indiscriminately impacted volumes and pricing across commercial property types, the impact of the pandemic on capital markets, has been more selective, widening the gulf between “winner” and “loser” property types.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Promising Update on the Vaccine we are All Waiting for
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We believe there is good reason to be optimistic. The global effort to develop a vaccine for COVID-19 has progressed at an incredible speed and is breathtaking when put in the context of vaccine development, which typically takes around a decade.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Macro Update: TikTok on the Clock, Now Don’t Let Fiscal Stimulus Stop
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TikTok may be the tip of the iceberg as the U.S. recommends tech companies remove Chinese apps from their app stores. Uncertainty around the next stimulus package may continue to weigh on consumer spending as we expect weaker data for July.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: ESG in Mining: A Quiet Revolution is Surfacing
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But the advances underway are rapidly making the industry safer, more efficient and more sustainable.
Market Outlooks
Is This Rebound for Real? And Is Now a Good Time to Double-Check Risk Tolerance?
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We take a closer look at the recent US stock market rally from its March low, and address some questions frequently asked by advisors around assessing risk and behavioral coaching in these unusual times.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Trough Is In—Let The Healing Begin
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While there is still a long path to recovery, global June flash PMIs confirmed we have passed the trough as contraction eased. The U.S. Employment report will be released next week, and the pressure is on for Britain and Japan to come up with a deal.
Market Outlooks
How We’re Positioning Portfolios to Outperform
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President and Global Chief Investment Officer Daniel Needham explains how asset valuation allows us to calculate expected returns for the long-term.
Market Outlooks
Our Valuation-Driven Asset Allocation Views Looking Beyond COVID-19
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While we haven’t faced a global pandemic of this kind before and the path to normalization is uncertain, we are encouraged by the aggressive policy response from central banks and governments which we think will be effective in averting a financial crisis. Thus, we think the recent sell-off has created significant opportunities for long-term investors like us. Read our commentary to learn our latest thinking.
Market Outlooks
Where We See Opportunities Ahead
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The news today makes the short-term economic outlook uncertain. Yet, we invest for the long term, not just for the next few months or even years. Given the attractive valuations we saw near the end of the first quarter, we think long-term returns look much better for investors now than they did just three months ago.
Please join our discussion with President and Global Chief Investment Officer Daniel Needham, Co-Head of Target Risk Strategies Dan McNeela, and Head of US Equity Strategies Michael Corty.