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Market Outlooks
MarketScapes: Transitioning Carefully
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The Fed’s latest policy statement seems to suggest they are carefully transitioning from the question of when to stop raising rates to when to start cutting them, with an eye on inflation and growth.
Market Outlooks
MarketScapes: The Case for Separating China from Emerging Market Index Investments
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We think China’s underperformance and market trends over the past decade has caused index investors to more closely scrutinize including China in their portfolios. It may make sense to separate China from other emerging markets, given China’s distinct differences.
Market Outlooks
MarketScapes: Even in this U.S. Equity Rally, Investors Can Find Losses to Reduce Taxes
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Historically, tax expenses over time have impacted after-tax wealth more than fees or trading costs. Investors who employ tax management strategies may receive benefits of investment returns coupled with after-tax outperformance. We think volatility can create opportunities in underlying securities in any given year.
Market Outlooks
MarketScapes; Conditions Appear Favorable for Distressed Credit Investing
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As some companies face refinancing at higher rates, defaulting on their debt becomes an increasing possibility. We uncover how this could lead to attractive returns for the private distressed market.
Market Outlooks
Why There’s Little Cushion to Absorb an Oil Shock
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Beyond the human tragedy unfolding in Israel, we acknowledge the risk of escalation in the region and what it could mean for oil prices.
Market Outlooks
The Puzzle of the Equity Market’s Reaction to Rising Rates
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Equity index multiples have barely budged with rising interest rates, but rates still are driving returns in most individual stocks. Deputy CIO and CIO of Global Equities Michael Hunstad, Ph.D., examines why this may be happening.
Market Outlooks
How an Escalation of War in Israel May Impact Markets
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Beyond the considerable human toll the war in Israel has already taken, an escalation of the conflict could disrupt the world’s energy supply, damage global economic growth and spark market volatility. Chief Investment Strategist for EMEA and APAC Wouter Sturkenboom, CFA, outlines some scenarios.
Market Outlooks
What’s Behind the Ascent of Long-Term Bond Yields?
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Long-term bond yields have risen about 1.5% over the past six months, including an acceleration in recent weeks that caused equities to stumble. Chief Investment Strategist for North America Chris Shipley explains why the Federal Reserve and inflation likely aren’t to blame higher yields this time.
Market Outlooks
The High Probability of Recession in Europe Likely Will Burden Equities
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Higher interest rates, rising energy prices and plummeting credit are likely pushing the European economy into recession. Chief Investment Strategist for EMEA and APAC Wouter Sturkenboom, CFA, analyzes the global forces affecting Europe and explains how we’re positioned in our portfolios.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: Equities May Stumble over Rising U.S. Earnings Expectations
Increasing market expectations for U.S. earnings growth over the next two years have backed large-cap equities. Chief Investment Strategist for North America Chris Shipley examines the assumptions underlying earnings estimates and why the market may be in for disappointment.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: How to Reconcile Dueling Outlooks for U.S. Earnings
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Amid dueling forecasts, we anticipate a slight adjustment in the U.S. equity margins. Gain clarity from Deputy CIO and CIO of Global Equities Michael Hunstad, Ph.D. as he discusses current conditions.