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Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints – Inflation is a boon for value equities
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Generally, when inflations expectations are rising, we see value stocks favored more than growth stocks.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Life’s Certainties: Death, taxes…and municipal bonds?
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In a November 1789 letter addressed to his good friend, Jean-Baptiste Le Roy, Founding Father Benjamin Franklin shared that America was off to a great start and the recently established U.S. Constitution showed much promise but immediately added, “In this world, nothing is certain except death and taxes.”
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The four layers of inflation
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As we entered 2021, we put the pivot point of the economy and market returns squarely on inflation.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: A Jumpy Market Waiting for the Fed to Move
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Optimism in the economic recovery continues for both Federal Reserve and government officials though they are carefully walking a tightrope of language so as to not be too eager to raise rates too quickly.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Liquidity: Historic gains lead to marginal drains
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As we entered 2021, we believed the year’s performances and allocations were heavily dependent on inflation and the recalibration many investors would have to take in an elevated inflationary environment.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Rising rates: good or bad for dividends?
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With interest rates on the move – and consensus believing the trend will continue into 2023 – many investors, especially those searching for income, are grappling with the potential fall-out of rising rates on their portfolios.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Stimulus, household savings, inflation
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The 30,000-foot headline message can read that the stimulus payments to individuals will provide additional monies for essential needs and/or to spend on goods and services that would fuel the recovery of the economy impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. With significantly more cash in the hands of the consumer/household than before the pandemic, along with the trillions of dollars in government spending, it can be argued that the economy is set up for an inflationary period.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Municipal markets get a shot in the arm as political tailwinds build
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Q1 2021 started out much the same way as Q1 2020 for US municipal markets, beginning with strong performance early in the year, only to be followed by volatility and a move to the downside.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Equity Performance During and After a Period of Rising Interest Rates
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The yield of the 10-year Treasury has risen 80% from the beginning of the year until the time of this writing (3/26/21). This got us wondering where we think we might park our money during a time of rising interest rates, and where to rotate to once they’ve peaked.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Dividend Landscape is Evolving. What you Need to Know.
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As many as 59 companies in the S&P 500 cut or eliminated their dividend in 2020 – yet the index still managed to grow dividends payments 0.44% from a year earlier and set a record payout to investors.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Mind The Gap
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The first quarter of 2021 witnessed the continued migration from Growth to Value stocks. The performance gap between Growth and Value (as measured by the corresponding Russell indices) has narrowed significantly. This is something that – albeit expected – is a normal rotation that happens in every economic growth cycle.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Market’s Expanding Leadership Buttressing the Uptrend
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One of the most consistent and enduring qualities in this bull market cycle has been its broad and diverse sector participation.