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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Anatomy of a Recession: The Fed's Job Problem
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A review of the United States economy with focus on the Federal Reserve, labor, and housing with Jeff Schulze, investment strategist at ClearBridge Investments.
Market Outlooks
Allocation Views
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The Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team continue to anticipate that the cumulative effect of monetary policy tightening will have a dampening effect on economic activity.
Market Outlooks
Recession, Inflation, and Duration Considerations
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Are markets correctly pricing inflation? What flavor of recession are our economists anticipating? What roles will quality and duration play in 2023 within the fixed income asset class? Our economists discuss key questions facing investors today in our latest Macro Perspectives.
Fixed Income Insights
Fixed Income Insights: Key Convictions 1Q23
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Market insights at a glance. On the heels of a turbulent 2022, valuations for fixed-income have not been this attractive in a long time.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
PodCast: Episode 34: Revenge of the Old Economy
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Low interest rates and a focus on being green led to significant underinvestment in the old economy. Netflix rose and Exxon fell. But we’re now beginning a rotation away from the new economy back to the old, says Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs. In this episode of The Active Share, Jeff tells Hugo how he sees the future of energy, from green tech to oil, from the east to the west—who will win, who will lose, and how investors can prepare.
Market Outlooks
2023: Our U.S. Teams Weigh In
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Tightening monetary policy drove rising 10-year Treasury bond yields and pressured equity valuations in 2022. While impossible to predict what 2023 has in store—especially because interest-rate changes can have a lagged effect on corporate earnings—we asked our U.S. equity teams to weigh in.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.