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Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Deal or No Deal?
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Several nations around the world await deals, whether it is another fiscal stimulus package or a trade agreement between the U.K. and EU. Global inflation data is likely to remain contained, and U.S. September retail sales are expected to post another modest rise.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Biggest Threat to the Global Recovery Lies Beneath This Dome
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Rising acrimony at the U.S. Capital around the Supreme Court vacancy puts stimulus at risk and hurts long-term growth prospects.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Investors Beware! Trump & Biden Agree On Something!
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China’s rapid post-pandemic recovery looks tempting, but relations with the U.S. will get worse regardless of who wins the White House.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Looking forward
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The Fed sharpens its new policy framework with strong forward guidance.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Is there a limit to government spending?
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A growing federal deficit could be concerning if inflation starts to heat up.
Market Outlooks
Economic recovery accelerates
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A rebound led by the labor market, housing, autos, manufacturing and consumers.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
6 reasons yields may stay range-bound
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It starts with the Fed.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: It’s Not the Beginning of the End; It’s the End of the Beginning
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As investors look past the pandemic, the weak cycle coming into view means the best returns depend on identifying secular change.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Impact of COVID-19 on Commercial Real Estate Capital Markets
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While the Global Financial Crisis indiscriminately impacted volumes and pricing across commercial property types, the impact of the pandemic on capital markets, has been more selective, widening the gulf between “winner” and “loser” property types.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Pandemic’s Unexpected Upside
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Hurricane Laura and Typhoon Bavi left heartbreaking trails of destruction last week, triggering fresh headlines around the connection between severe weather and climate change—and fresh debate about the right climate policy in the midst of a pandemic.
Market Outlooks
Focus on Equities: Taking the Long View
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Following a severe sell-off in the first quarter, global equity markets rebounded in the second quarter. Any number of scenarios could play out—how do we approach uncertainty?