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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Debt ceiling spat takes a breather
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We still see a low risk of technical default by the U.S. and expect the debt ceiling debacle to ultimately resolve.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Election 2022: All About the Economy
Four words uttered thirty years ago perhaps best capture the lens through which to view presidential and midterm elections: “It’s the economy, stupid.”
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Putting the yield spike in perspective
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The recent jump in U.S. Treasury yields has spooked investors. Not all yield rises are the same. Yields driven up by rising policy rate expectations may harm equity valuations.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Catastrophe Coming?
While the markets have recouped some of those losses this morning, investors are clearly getting jittery.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we stay pro-risk
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Markets have been jittery amid focus on China’s regulatory clampdown and the prospect of the Federal Reserve tapering its asset purchases.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
What Happens When the Clock Strikes Midnight?
The House and Senate are back in session this week for the first time since July. They are replaying a Cinderella story no one in Washington (or the stock market) likes: the end-of the-fiscal-year scramble to fund the federal government before the clock strikes midnight on September 30.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Debt ceiling showdown redux
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The U.S. needs to soon raise a self-imposed federal debt limit, or the “debt ceiling”, to avoid a debt default.