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Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Could the coronavirus outbreak trigger a recession?
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On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Quantitative Investment Strategist Dr. Kara Ng and Head of AIS Business Solutions Sophie Antal Gilbert discussed the latest on the coronavirus outbreak and its potential impact on global markets and economies.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Does coronavirus pose a long-term risk to the global economy?
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On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman and Head of AIS Business Solutions Sophie Antal Gilbert discussed the latest coronavirus headlines, flash PMI (purchasing managers’ index) data for February and watchpoints for markets as the U.S. Democratic primary season heats up.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Economic Indicators Suggest President Trump's Reelection
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In testimony on Capitol Hill this week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell repeatedly praised the strength of the U.S. economy across multiple indicators. He pointed to an historically-low unemployment rate, rising wages, and continual, moderate overall growth. Powell has a notably turbulent relationship with President Donald Trump, but his assessment should have been music to the ears of top White House and Trump campaign officials (even if the president could not help live-Tweeting his criticism of Powell’s testimony). The economy, after all, is historically perhaps the most reliable presidential election indicator.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Coronavirus and the global economy: Stimulus to the rescue?
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On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Portfolio Manager Megan Roach and Research Analyst Brian Yadao discussed the latest coronavirus developments as well as recently released European macroeconomic data. They also chatted about U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress, and provided an update on fourth-quarter earnings season.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Post-holiday cheer: U.S. January jobs report shines, manufacturing expands
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The U.S. economy added 225,000 jobs in January, a number Robison characterized as massively positive. “U.S. nonfarm payroll additions last month surpassed most estimates, and came in far above the replacement rate—the number of new jobs needed on a monthly basis to keep up with population growth,” he remarked.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The End of the Caucus?
So that didn’t go as planned. While politicos inside the Beltway and across the country were expecting to get our first real results in the Democratic presidential primary last night, problems with tallying the vote in Iowa have caused a significant delay in reporting the results. In a story posted yesterday, The Associated Press reported Iowa Democratic Party officials had promised that “an early issue with a mobile app designed to report results” would “not hinder the Iowa caucus process.”
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Volatility returns with a vengeance as coronavirus outbreak grows
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On Jan. 30, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency of international concern, Ng said. “Already, the number of confirmed infections from coronavirus has surpassed the number of infections from the SARS outbreak of 2002-03,” she noted, “which means the virus is likely to have a larger economic impact on China than SARS did.”