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Fixed Income Insights
Fixed Income Market Update - September 2020
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In our view, in a landscape of improved risk sentiment and strong demand for yield, U.S. corporates appear attractive even noting the recompression of spreads since the first quarter. While corporates have retraced a significant portion of their year to date widening, other sectors and asset classes have gone further, leaving corporates relatively well positioned.
Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts - September 7th, 2020
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Due to the continued outperformance of Technology stocks, the ratio of the S&P 500 Information Technology Index to the S&P 500 is approaching levels last seen during the Tech bubble.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Snapshot: September 4, 2020
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Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Snapshot: August 28, 2020
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Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.
Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts - August 31st, 2020
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The S&P 500 has seen new record highs since bottoming on March 17th, with nearly half of stocks returning over 50% during that time period
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Snapshot: August 21, 2020
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Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.
Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts - August 20th, 2020
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The debt-to-GDP ratio of Advanced Economies is unprecedented –2020 debt levels have surpassed the previous high seen during World War Two.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Snapshot: August 14, 2020
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Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.
Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts - August 17th, 2020
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Over the past five years, the concentration of several equity indices has grown substantially. The weight of the top ten names in the Russell 1000 Growth Index doubled from 22% to 44%.
Market Outlooks
The great disconnect between the economy and the stock market
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We concluded our March quarter Perspectives with the comment: “Let’s just hope we now don’t have a gigantic bounce in share prices fuelled by the central bank injections, pushing them back to bubble levels. Or, are we, once again, being naïve?” Yes, we were being naïve. The bounce occurred and it had nothing to do with investment fundamentals.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
COVID-19 isn’t going away
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Colossal policy responses in the second quarter reassured investors that the U.S. economy can weather the COVID-19 downturn, with a relatively quick return to risk assets pushing the S&P 500® up 20.5% for the period, its best quarter since 1998. After bottoming in March, U.S. stocks rose as much as 44% before the rally stalled a bit over the last few weeks of the quarter. We saw a few signs of hesitation for more policy among lawmakers as indicators improved, but overall both Congress and the Federal Reserve (Fed) remain prepared to do more.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The U.S.-China relationship in a changing global economy
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An inevitable blame game between the U.S. and China has followed COVID-19, but the crisis has really just extended the “trust deficit” that has been steadily building between the two countries in recent years. Though the “Phase One” agreement between the countries remains intact, it is very fragile and China is turning to a more domestic focus. The U.S.-China relationship, however, remains pivotal for the global economy, and in our mini-forum devoted to the topic, we began with a discussion of the relationship from China’s perspective.