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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Financial cracks show: What to do now
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The U.S and European bank tumult is the latest sign rapid rate hikes are causing financial cracks, reinforcing our recession view.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Earnings expectations look too high
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Stocks are starting to reflect the economic damage of rate hikes.
Market Outlooks
Silicon Valley Bank Collapse
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The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) over the weekend, the biggest bank failure in U.S. history after Washington Mutual in 2008, seemingly caught both regulators and markets off guard, and triggered fears of contagion across the global banking sector. In response, on Sunday night (March 12), U.S. policymakers (the Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) announced emergency measures to shore up the U.S. banking system.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Corporate earnings: Growth clouds have arrived
While many macro signals have already triggered current recessionary conditions in some pockets of the economy, the 4Q22 inversion of the 3m10y Treasury yield curve means that investors need to prepare portfolios for the volatile period that is likely ahead.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Europe: Sticky inflation favors income
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European stocks have outperformed this year as China’s economy restarts and the energy shock proved less severe than expected.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Pockets of value in stocks as rates rise
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Growth stocks have led the U.S. equity rally so far this year, halting outperformance in 2022 by value equities.