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Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Outlook Flyer - March 2023
ClearBridge Investments utilizes 12 different economic indicators to assess the risk of recession. Each individual indicator can signal expansion, caution or recession in the economy...
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession Update: Headwind, Not a Hurricane
While the housing market has been on the leading edge of the current downturn, the threat of higher interest rates will likely be somewhat muted as borrowers shift away from adjustable-rate mortgages.
Market Outlooks
Sleeping at Night? Consider Adding an Absolute Return Strategy
Perhaps the most concerning issue for multi-asset investors as we turn to 2023 is diversification—or the lack thereof in recent times. And while this is not the first time that the “traditional” correlation between U.S. Treasuries and equity markets has broken down—people tend to pay less attention when both are producing positive returns—it has been one of the worst years on record for the total return of a 60/40 portfolio in 2022.Herein lies the merits of discussing an absolute return approach with clients.
Market Outlooks
Global Convictions: January 2023 Asset Class Research
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Heading into 2023, bearish sentiment among investors is coming off a very low base, with some of the worst recorded data since tracking started 35 years ago. With a contrarian lens, this could be a positive. However, while the overall valuation landscape has undoubtedly improved, there are many assets which remain around fair value. In such an environment, we continue to balance opportunities against risks.
Market Outlooks
2023 Outlook: Inflation, Recession, Valuations, and Retirement
This piece is approved to use with clients.
What are the positive client messages we can share leading into 2023? With inflation and a recession on everyone’s minds, what actions make sense to support clients? Morningstar Investment Management’s Americas CIO Marta Norton and Head of Research Philip Straehl share their perspective on the outlook, address the implications on client portfolios, and look at potential actions to be taken.
Behavioral Finance
Market Perspective: There are No Rewards Without Risk
This piece is approved to use with clients.
2022 reminded investors of the risk from investing, but none of this makes losses palatable. As the old axiom goes, “there are no rewards without risk.” Here's perspective from Marta Norton, CIO, Americas, Morningstar Investment Management LLC.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Views, December 2022
This piece is approved to use with clients.
ClearBridge Investments’ Jeff Schulze discusses what is going on with home sales, corporate profits and labor.