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Market Outlooks
CAPITAL MARKET ASSUMPTIONS: 2023 EDITION FIVE-YEAR OUTLOOK
Northern Trust expects higher interest rates and flat global yield curves to cap bond and equity returns, causing market returns to drift below historical averages.
Market Outlooks
The Next Five Years: What Investors Can Expect
Curated content for RIAs.
Rising interest rates, high inflation and tighter monetary policy have many investors wondering: Is the worst behind us? Join us to get an inside look into our new capital market assumptions research.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Jackson Hole Comments Contribute to Stock Decline, U.S. Jobs Market Expected to Remain Strong
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Investors give about a 65% chance of a 0.75% Fed rate hike in September. The U.S. jobs report on Friday is expected to show 3.5% unemployment and 300,000 jobs added.
Fixed Income Insights
Global Perspectives: Mortgage-Backed Securities – Has the Baby Gone Out with the Bathwater?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
In the latest episode of our Global Perspectives podcast series, Portfolio Manager Nick Childs and Securitized Products Analyst Tom Polus discuss the reasons why they believe mortgage-backed securities have been sold off disproportionately, and if that might be a good thing going forward.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: Inflation May Have Peaked, but Uncertainty Looms
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Stocks have rebounded on signs that U.S. inflation may have peaked, but investors face potentially muted returns while the risk of sticky inflation remains.
Market Outlooks
Taking the Long View on Market Volatility: A Global Equities Conversation
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Structural shifts in the global economy and market dynamics continue to drive volatility in equities: what should smart investors be doing right now?