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Fixed Income Insights
ISG Insight: A mostly benign outlook for US inflation
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The stabilisation of US economic growth amid unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus has raised questions about the likelihood of inflation returning. Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, and Andrew Mulliner, Global Bonds Portfolio Manager, both members of the Fixed Income ISG, explain why they do not see significant risks of sustained higher inflation materialising in the next few years, though caution that short-term spikes are possible and investors should evaluate the diversity that their fixed income portfolios provide.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Pumpkin spice popcorn ... m'm, m'm, m'm
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The race could tighten but whatever happens, the market should be fine.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Looking forward
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The Fed sharpens its new policy framework with strong forward guidance.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Is there a limit to government spending?
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A growing federal deficit could be concerning if inflation starts to heat up.
Market Outlooks
Economic recovery accelerates
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A rebound led by the labor market, housing, autos, manufacturing and consumers.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
6 reasons yields may stay range-bound
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It starts with the Fed.
Market Outlooks
The old college try
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Back to school won't be business as usual this year.
Market Outlooks
It's off to work we go...
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The nation's job market continues to mend.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Demographics: China's biggest Achilles' heel
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Vulnerabilities emerge at a potential turning point in its relations with the world.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Immigrants key drivers of U.S. economy
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Create a safe, legal immigration framework for foreign workers.
Market Outlooks
The easy part
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It's over. Now investors will have to deal with rising challenges.
Market Outlooks
The consumer returns
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As the economy recovers, where spending is picking up.