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Market Outlooks
Capital Market Assumptions: 5-Year Outlook
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Chief Investment Strategist Jim McDonald breaks down our new five-year Capital Market Assumptions outlook, which outlines key investment themes that ultimately drive our asset class return expectations for the next five years.
Market Outlooks
Global Stocks Rebound, U.S. Inflation Expected to Moderate
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Investors now give over a 90% chance of a 0.75% Fed hike later this month. U.S. inflation in August may fall from July on a year-over-year basis.
Market Outlooks
CAPITAL MARKET ASSUMPTIONS: 2023 EDITION FIVE-YEAR OUTLOOK
Northern Trust expects higher interest rates and flat global yield curves to cap bond and equity returns, causing market returns to drift below historical averages.
Market Outlooks
The Next Five Years: What Investors Can Expect
Curated content for RIAs.
Rising interest rates, high inflation and tighter monetary policy have many investors wondering: Is the worst behind us? Join us to get an inside look into our new capital market assumptions research.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Jackson Hole Comments Contribute to Stock Decline, U.S. Jobs Market Expected to Remain Strong
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Investors give about a 65% chance of a 0.75% Fed rate hike in September. The U.S. jobs report on Friday is expected to show 3.5% unemployment and 300,000 jobs added.
Fixed Income Insights
Global Perspectives: Mortgage-Backed Securities – Has the Baby Gone Out with the Bathwater?
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In the latest episode of our Global Perspectives podcast series, Portfolio Manager Nick Childs and Securitized Products Analyst Tom Polus discuss the reasons why they believe mortgage-backed securities have been sold off disproportionately, and if that might be a good thing going forward.