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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: U.S. debt stand-off to add to volatility
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Negotiations to lift the U.S. debt ceiling are heating up. The Treasury hit the $31.4 trillion “ceiling,” or cap on how much debt it can issue, in January.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Commercial real estate: going granular
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The fastest rate hiking cycle since the 1980s is causing financial cracks. This has caused bank turmoil and raised concerns over U.S. commercial real estate due to its high vacancy rates and reliance on bank loans.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Income in the new macro regime
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Income is back as a portfolio driver as we see interest rates staying high in the new regime of macro and market volatility. We like bonds for income even if we don’t expect them to offset risk-asset slides as much as they did in the past – or gain in price from falling yields.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: EM assets have the edge – for now
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Our new playbook calls for quickly shifting portfolios based on how much damage is priced in.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: New regime, new portfolio approach
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Stocks and bonds have both rallied this year. Some see this as reason to return to traditional portfolio approaches like 60% stocks and 40% bonds.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Implications of clean energy race
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U.S. industrial policy has sparked a global clean energy race, we believe, opening up investment opportunities that so far have gone largely under the radar.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Recession – but no central bank rescue
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Central banks confront the growth-inflation trade-off, with the Federal Reserve seeing recession but no rate cuts.