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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Policy response to virus takes shape
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The coronavirus outbreak has continued to roil markets, even as significant monetary policy steps have been taken. Uncertainties related to the outbreak give public health officials a strong incentive to act aggressively to mitigate its human toll. These measures, though temporary in nature, slow economic activity, sometimes precipitously. We believe this will eventually set the scene for a strong rebound, but a decisive policy response is needed to safeguard fundamentals.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Market volatility continues as spread of coronavirus intensifies
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On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman and Research Analyst Brian Yadao discussed the latest economic and market developments amid the ongoing coronavirus outbreak.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Virus outbreak turns us cautious
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The spread of the coronavirus beyond China has opened up a new global dimension to the epidemic – and potential for a sharper economic drag from efforts to contain it. We expect the economic expansion to remain intact, albeit on a lower track.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Could the coronavirus outbreak trigger a recession?
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On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Quantitative Investment Strategist Dr. Kara Ng and Head of AIS Business Solutions Sophie Antal Gilbert discussed the latest on the coronavirus outbreak and its potential impact on global markets and economies.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Our views on equity style factors
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The coronavirus outbreak has altered market dynamics since late January. One example: Quality has posted more muted gains after strong outperformance in late 2019. We stand by our tactical views on factors for now, including a modest overweight on quality. These are anchored by our outlook that a global growth uptick will likely resume once the outbreak recedes, although the depth and width of the eventual V-shaped recovery are uncertain.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Does coronavirus pose a long-term risk to the global economy?
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On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman and Head of AIS Business Solutions Sophie Antal Gilbert discussed the latest coronavirus headlines, flash PMI (purchasing managers’ index) data for February and watchpoints for markets as the U.S. Democratic primary season heats up.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Testing our global outlook
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The February update to our Global Outlook reaffirms our expectation for global growth to edge higher this year, even as the coronavirus outbreak has introduced uncertainties. Past epidemics have seen V-shaped economic recoveries – a pattern we expect see this time as well. Yet the depth and width of the “V” are highly uncertain. This outbreak could be more disruptive than past ones because it could be more severe, and because of greater reliance on global supply chains.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Coronavirus and the global economy: Stimulus to the rescue?
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On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Portfolio Manager Megan Roach and Research Analyst Brian Yadao discussed the latest coronavirus developments as well as recently released European macroeconomic data. They also chatted about U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress, and provided an update on fourth-quarter earnings season.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: U.S. equities: we are still neutral
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Market performance since early December has been a story of two phases: Emerging market (EM) equities had rallied and U.S. equities moved in line with global equities until the coronavirus outbreak in late January, reinforcing views in our 2020 Global Outlook.