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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: U.S. equities: we are still neutral
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Market performance since early December has been a story of two phases: Emerging market (EM) equities had rallied and U.S. equities moved in line with global equities until the coronavirus outbreak in late January, reinforcing views in our 2020 Global Outlook.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Post-holiday cheer: U.S. January jobs report shines, manufacturing expands
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The U.S. economy added 225,000 jobs in January, a number Robison characterized as massively positive. “U.S. nonfarm payroll additions last month surpassed most estimates, and came in far above the replacement rate—the number of new jobs needed on a monthly basis to keep up with population growth,” he remarked.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Coronavirus worry clouds markets
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The coronavirus outbreak emanating from China has sent jitters across financial markets amid fears of a hit to the global economy. We still expect growth to edge higher in 2020 thanks to easier financial conditions and trade tensions going sideways, yet the unknown magnitude and duration of the outbreak pose downside risks.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Volatility returns with a vengeance as coronavirus outbreak grows
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On Jan. 30, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency of international concern, Ng said. “Already, the number of confirmed infections from coronavirus has surpassed the number of infections from the SARS outbreak of 2002-03,” she noted, “which means the virus is likely to have a larger economic impact on China than SARS did.”
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: U.S. dollar underpins EM assets
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We see the U.S. dollar stabilizing or weakening over the next six to 12 months. Two broad drivers – monetary policy differentials and risk appetite – decide the dollar’s moves, in our view.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: How the coronavirus outbreak could impact markets
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The outbreak of the coronavirus in China commanded the attention of financial markets the week of Jan. 20, Eitelman said, leading to an increase in market volatility. While the outbreak has the potential to significantly disrupt the global business cycle, such a scenario represents the extreme end of things, he noted.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: A cyclical rotation
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Markets have greeted the new year with optimism. The signing of a limited “Phase 1” deal between the U.S. and China reinforces our expectation for global trade tensions to take a pause in 2020.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Are better days ahead for the U.S. manufacturing sector?
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The official signing of the phase one trade deal between the U.S. and China took place Jan. 15, with China committing to further protections of U.S. intellectual property, as well as increased access to its financial services sector. China also pledged to purchase an additional $200 billion in U.S. goods, with an emphasis on manufacturing and agricultural products, Roach said.