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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
SALT May Make an Infrastructure Package a Bitter Pill to Swallow
Both chambers of Congress still have to achieve majority support for these two massive packages — and some of the White House’s tax plans, which have been proposed to pay for trillions of dollars in infrastructure spending, are deeply unpopular within the president’s own party.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Israel may provide a preview of what’s to come in the US and UK — and in any country that achieves broad vaccine distribution.
This piece is approved to use with clients.
A month ago, I wrote about the great progress Israel was making in terms of inoculating its citizens against COVID-19. At the time, I said that we would want to follow economic data in Israel closely for indications of what the US and UK could expect in the near future — as they are making swift progress in vaccinating their respective populations — as well as what any country can expect once it successfully vaccinates a significant portion of its population.
Market Outlooks
Schumer’s Gambit, and Infrastructure Week
President Joe Biden is outlining a $4 trillion infrastructure plan that will include items like universal pre-kindergarten, significant investments in addressing climate change as well as tax increases to pay for this spending. In other words: items, that along with the overall size of the package, will raise the hackles of Republicans in Congress.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Investors may be grateful for the Fed’s easy money, but they’re also wary about what might come next.
This piece is approved to use with clients.
If you had to quickly describe the relationship status between investors and the Federal Reserve, your best bet might simply be: “It’s complicated.”
Market Outlooks
South Korean Stocks: Has the Luster Faded After a Strong Finish to 2020?
Gareth Lyons and Nabil Salem discuss the somewhat unusual South Korean stock market--unusual in that, this tech-dominated market remained attractively priced until recently. Lyons and Salem review the recent valuation history of this market, analyze drivers of outperformance in 2020, and summarize their current views on South Korea as an asset allocation opportunity.
Behavioral Finance
Rules as Tools: Using Heuristics to Help Empower Financial Success
People often use simple mental shortcuts, also called heuristics, when they make everyday decisions. But can these rules of thumb improve financial well-being? We studied commonly used rules of thumb in four financial categories (saving, spending, investing, and debt management).
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The economy may not truly turn the page until spring
This piece is approved to use with clients.
It might be 2021, but it doesn’t feel like a new year in many parts of the world. We haven’t yet turned the page on all the difficulties of the past year, so it seems like we are stuck in 2020. Or as my colleague aptly put it, this is just Dec. 49, 2020.
Market Outlooks
Congressional Review Act: Democrats Leave Key Regulatory Tool On Table—Why?
Many Democrats on Capitol Hill, and the party’s left flank, are itching to eliminate the legislative filibuster in order to get the Biden agenda into law.