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Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Does the Economy Predict Stock Returns?
Investors, economists and the media spend an enormous amount of time and energy trying to forecast the economy. The idea is that forecasting economic growth will give us an idea of where the stock market is headed. Surprisingly, no predictive relationship exists between current economic conditions and the current stock market.
Manager & Investment Selection
Strategy Series: Strategy Preference Can Indicate Expected Stock Market Return
Rather surprisingly, the equity strategy framework can provide an estimate of current expected stock market returns. This is accomplished by measuring the recent investor response to each strategy, which, it turns out, captures the deep behavioral currents driving market returns. The resulting information is useful when managing equity market exposure.
Behavioral Finance
Diversify by Strategy to Stay on Track
It’s important for investors to understand how different investment strategies work and how each performs under various market conditions.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Use Needs Rather than Fear for Allocation
Risk tolerance can result in poor risk management, significant misallocation of resources and a high degree of anxiety. AthenaInvest suggests using a needs-based planning instead.
Active/Passive Management
The Active Equity Renaissance: Behavioral Financial Markets
The analytical tools derived from behavioral finance’s more realistic representation of financial markets and human behavior will likely replace the wealth-limiting MPT tools in use today.
Active/Passive Management
The Active Equity Renaissance: New Frontiers of Risk
One modern portfolio theory (MPT) pillar that is unquestionably broken is the use of volatility, specifically standard deviation, as a measure of risk.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Look Beyond Cost For Active Management
Focus on low-cost equity mutual funds has increased dramatically in the past decade. While cost matters, mutual funds should be evaluated based on what investors get for the price they pay.
Active/Passive Management
The Active Equity Renaissance: The Rise and Fall of MPT
After the dust settles, virtually nothing of modern portfolio theory (MPT) will remain, asserts C. Thomas Howard and Jason Voss, CFA.
Active/Passive Management
The Active Equity Renaissance: Rejecting a Broken 1970's Model
If enough mandates are added, a potential positive alpha is transformed into an actual negative alpha. So what can be done to launch an active equity renaissance?
Active/Passive Management
The Active Equity Renaissance: Understanding the Cult of Emotion
“I know you are afraid and you should be afraid. I will invest you in products that will not stir up your fears.” This sentiment is applied over and over in the investment industry.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: The Wall of Worry
The last eight years have been a good period for equity investing. But can it last?
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Reframing Performance with Better Charts
Some charts emphasize volatility, timing, and emotionally charged events, distorting how we view performance and hurting the real long-term probability of a successful outcome.