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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Don’t be surprised by surprising data
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We see the recent inflation spike as temporary due to unique restart forces, but see inflation on the rise in the medium term. Both views keep us pro-risk.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Equities shrug off employment miss
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Most broad-based indexes appreciated last week, with the S&P 500 enjoying its third consecutive week of gains and rising seven out of the past eight.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Inflation expectations rise as Treasury yields fall
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U.S. Treasury yields declined last week, though inflation expectations rose, as the fall was entirely driven by lower real yields and expectations for a slower pace of eventual Federal Reserve policy tightening. Economic data weakened, with a large downside miss in the April jobs report.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Mind the (rate expectation) gap
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Markets are pricing in a liftoff from near-zero policy rates as early as next year, even though the Fed through its new framework has committed to stay behind the curve on inflation.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Rising inflation concerns drag on returns
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U.S. Treasury yields rose last week and the yield curve steepened, as the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) kept policy unchanged. The moves were driven by higher inflation expectations, as the Fed doubled down on its commitment to let the economy run hot, which benefited credit sectors.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: We see several reasons for increased selectivity
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With the exception of the S&P 500 (+0.04%), broad-based equity indexes fell modestly last week, due in large part to weakness on Friday, the last trading day of the month. April was a strong month for equities as the S&P 500, DJIA and NASDAQ each added between 2% and 5%.