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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Inflation: beyond near-term volatility
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Inflation looks set to overshoot the Fed’s target as we have expected. Yet we see uncertainties around the near-term persistence of the overshoot as the restart leads to unusual supply and demand dynamics.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we remain pro-risk
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A powerful economic restart is underway in the U.S. – with Europe and emerging markets (EMs) set to follow. At the same time our new nominal theme has been playing out, with a hefty jump in inflation expectations but a more muted rise in nominal yields. Against this backdrop, we reiterate our pro-risk stance and refine our tactical views in response to adjustments in market pricing and valuations.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Optimism waivers despite solid economic news
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Most global equity markets declined modestly last week as investors grappled with headlines that alternated between improving economic data and rising global COVID-19 case counts. In the U.S., the S&P 500, DJIA and NASDAQ each fell by less than 0.5%. The same was true for the MSCI EAFE and ACWI ex-US indexes while their emerging market counterpart gained 0.4%, despite the rapidly deteriorating health care situation in India.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields decline as investors fret over rising tax rates
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U.S. Treasury yields declined last week and risk assets weakened slightly. Despite positive economic data, investor sentiment took a hit as attention centered on reports that the Biden administration is preparing a proposal to raise capital gains tax rates. The Federal Reserve (Fed) will be in focus this week, though no major policy changes are expected.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields decline as risk assets perform well
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U.S. Treasury yields declined again last week, as technical dynamics and non-U.S. demand outweighed better economic data and rising inflation. 10-year Treasury yields fell -8 basis points, helping all major fixed income market segments to rally.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Equities reach record high on strong economic data
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Stronger-than-expected economic news propelled stocks to new highs last week. Lower Treasury yields helped drive the outperformance of growth and momentum styles after those areas of the market meaningfully lagged value in the first quarter. The biggest sector winners this week were utilities, materials and health care, which each gained 3% or more. No sectors posted negative returns for the week.