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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Our views on Chinese assets
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Chinese stocks have sold off on concerns that China could tighten monetary and fiscal policy more aggressively – after having led the global restart and policy normalization. This took place as rising U.S. Treasury yields have pressured global risk assets.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The U.S. Grabs the Global Recovery Baton…
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Slow vaccination programs continue to delay the reopening of EU economies. The Fed showed that even with better growth and inflation outlooks, it remains committed to its accommodative stance. Elsewhere, China activity data so far this year shows the uneven recovery continues.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: A strong restart, not a recovery
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We see the path out of the Covid-19 shock as a “restart” – not a typical business cycle “recovery.” The key reasons are the distinct nature of the shock, broad-based pent-up demand and different inflation dynamics.
Market Outlooks
Student of the Market: March Edition
Stay on top of changing market environments by learning from their historical parallels.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Future of Money May Come Sooner Than You Think
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The pandemic delivered a boost to cashless commerce, but fresh designs for digital money will disrupt far more than coins and bills.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Leaning further into cyclicality
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The UK has led the developed world in the pace of its vaccine rollout, with the euro area set to catch up after a slower start. Vaccine rollouts and fiscal spending are paving the way for an accelerated global restart, reflected in a recent rise in real rates. This supports a broadening of the cyclical tilt in our tactical views, with our recent debut of a UK equities overweight and upgrading euro equities to neutral.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Pessimist's Guide to the Rest of the Year
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The base case is bright in spite of recent market jitters, but we’re watching 10 numbers that would signal a darker turn.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Climate transition: a driver of returns
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We are incorporating the effects of climate change – and of the climate transition – in our return assumptions, as we believe avoiding climate-related damages will help drive growth and improve returns for risk assets. We see climate-resilient sectors as potential beneficiaries of a “green” transition, and are strategically overweight DM equities as they are skewed toward these sectors.