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Investing Ideas
The Bid Podcast
The Bid breaks down what's happening in the markets and explores the forces that are changing investing.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: The new nominal, accelerated
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The Democrats’ newly gained majority in U.S. Congress paves the way for greater public spending but the narrow margin limits the scope for higher taxes, in our view. We expect this outcome to speed up “the new nominal”, or our expectations for stronger growth coupled with stable nominal yields, even as a more infectious virus strain threatens to make the path to a full activity restart more bumpy.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Recipe for the Next Financial Crisis
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It may not come soon or deliver the same shock, but the ingredients that triggered so many predecessors are already coming into view.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Three investing lessons from 2020
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2020 was an extraordinary year for financial markets. The initial Covid shock triggered a massive selloff, followed by a risk rally that extended to the year end.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Investing Through the Headlines
After the year we have had its easy to understand how investors may have become fatigued and disoriented. Taking a step back and looking at things over a longer time period can help to regain a sense of balance and perspective. The ability to look past today’s headlines is key to long-term investing.
Market Outlooks
Behavioral Advisor: Don't Hesitate to Build Your Wealth
Investors often fret about the market environment and ask if they should invest now or hold off for a better time. For long-term investors, making regular contributions is more important than when the contributions are made each year.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Secret Plan for America’s New China Policy
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It’s based on the reviled and maligned Trans-Pacific Partnership, so don’t tell anyone.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Positioning for the new nominal
This piece is approved to use with clients.
A key consequence of this year’s policy revolution is the potential for a more muted response of nominal yields to higher inflation, in our view. This means investors should start positioning their long-term portfolios for this new dynamic now, in our view.