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Market Outlooks
Market GPS 2023: Finding the silver lining
Curated content for RIAs.
Investors will continue to grapple with market shocks in 2023, but it’s time to focus on the silver lining. In our Market GPS webcast, Janus Henderson’s asset class experts share their perspectives on the economic outlook and discuss the risks and opportunities facing investors in the year ahead.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Recession Resistance: Can We Prove That Recessions Don't Matter?
Increasingly, investors seem focused on the potential for a recession. In this webcast, we discuss...
Fixed Income Insights
Return of the Bond Market: Better Income Opportunities?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Most investors incorporate bonds into a portfolio to provide diversification. Unfortunately, a smoother return path has not held true in recent years. But now the market has recalibrated, and yields have reset higher. Higher yields mean higher future returns. And for the first time in a while, you can make the argument that bonds provide true competition to stocks.
Behavioral Finance
Direct Indexing and the IKEA Effect
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The “IKEA effect” describes a cognitive bias that happens when people put in some form of labor to complete a project or finish a creation. Direct indexing won’t solve the behavior gap, but it has the potential to create better investor behaviors by allowing investors to play a larger role in the portfolio-building process.
Market Outlooks
Sleeping at Night? Consider Adding an Absolute Return Strategy
Perhaps the most concerning issue for multi-asset investors as we turn to 2023 is diversification—or the lack thereof in recent times. And while this is not the first time that the “traditional” correlation between U.S. Treasuries and equity markets has broken down—people tend to pay less attention when both are producing positive returns—it has been one of the worst years on record for the total return of a 60/40 portfolio in 2022.Herein lies the merits of discussing an absolute return approach with clients.
Market Outlooks
Global Convictions: January 2023 Asset Class Research
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Heading into 2023, bearish sentiment among investors is coming off a very low base, with some of the worst recorded data since tracking started 35 years ago. With a contrarian lens, this could be a positive. However, while the overall valuation landscape has undoubtedly improved, there are many assets which remain around fair value. In such an environment, we continue to balance opportunities against risks.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
PodCast: Episode 34: Revenge of the Old Economy
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Low interest rates and a focus on being green led to significant underinvestment in the old economy. Netflix rose and Exxon fell. But we’re now beginning a rotation away from the new economy back to the old, says Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs. In this episode of The Active Share, Jeff tells Hugo how he sees the future of energy, from green tech to oil, from the east to the west—who will win, who will lose, and how investors can prepare.