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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Recession – but no central bank rescue
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Central banks confront the growth-inflation trade-off, with the Federal Reserve seeing recession but no rate cuts.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Financial cracks show: What to do now
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The U.S and European bank tumult is the latest sign rapid rate hikes are causing financial cracks, reinforcing our recession view.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Earnings expectations look too high
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Stocks are starting to reflect the economic damage of rate hikes.
Fixed Income Insights
Return of the Bond Market: Better Income Opportunities?
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Most investors incorporate bonds into a portfolio to provide diversification. Unfortunately, a smoother return path has not held true in recent years. But now the market has recalibrated, and yields have reset higher. Higher yields mean higher future returns. And for the first time in a while, you can make the argument that bonds provide true competition to stocks.
Behavioral Finance
Direct Indexing and the IKEA Effect
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The “IKEA effect” describes a cognitive bias that happens when people put in some form of labor to complete a project or finish a creation. Direct indexing won’t solve the behavior gap, but it has the potential to create better investor behaviors by allowing investors to play a larger role in the portfolio-building process.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Europe: Sticky inflation favors income
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European stocks have outperformed this year as China’s economy restarts and the energy shock proved less severe than expected.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Pockets of value in stocks as rates rise
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Growth stocks have led the U.S. equity rally so far this year, halting outperformance in 2022 by value equities.