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Market Outlooks
Stress testing the foundations: Analyzing the vulnerability of US banks to falling commercial real estate values
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The commercial real estate sector’s continued challenges could potentially impact US banks. Franklin Templeton Fixed Income’s Shawn Lyons discusses the ongoing commercial real estate crisis and how US banks are safeguarding themselves against these issues.
Market Outlooks
A broadening opportunity set
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Our investment teams across asset classes share where they see investment opportunities in our latest Global Investment Outlook. Today, we see a much broader opportunity set across asset classes and regions, and the outlook over the remainder of this year (and into 2024) appears favorable for balanced portfolios.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Finding new opportunities as Q4 starts
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Markets are adjusting to the new regime of greater volatility and higher interest rates.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Yields surge as new regime plays out
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Yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries last week briefly rose to 16-year highs above 4.50% as major central banks paused rate hikes but left the door open for more.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Seizing new regime opportunities
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We see the new regime of greater volatility playing out: higher interest rates, stagnating activity and structural forces set to push inflation back up. Flip-flops in the market narrative make that clear.
Market Outlooks
Student of the Market: September 2023
Stay on top of the changing market environments by learning from their historical parallels.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: New regime fuels narrative flip flops
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We‘re in an unprecedented macro environment that is driving constant shifts in the market narrative: from hopes of avoiding recession to fears good macro news could be bad for markets in just a few months. We see the market moving with data as if we’re in a normal business cycle.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Favoring short-term bonds long term
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Sovereign bond yields have surged this year, with U.S. long-term yields hitting 16-year highs last month. We prefer short-term government bonds over credit. We go underweight high quality credit on a strategic view of five years and longer and trim our overall underweight to sovereign bonds.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Primary Debates Past and Present
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With apologies for being the bearer of bad news, the 2024 election is upon us. Officially. Tonight marks the first Republican primary debate of the presidential election cycle...
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Are “Junk Fees” A Winning Election Issue?
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If July was Republicans’ “ESG Month,” August (and potentially everything after, at least until next November) might just be Democrats’ “Junk Fee Month.”