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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Yields surge as new regime plays out
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries last week briefly rose to 16-year highs above 4.50% as major central banks paused rate hikes but left the door open for more.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: Equities May Stumble over Rising U.S. Earnings Expectations
Increasing market expectations for U.S. earnings growth over the next two years have backed large-cap equities. Chief Investment Strategist for North America Chris Shipley examines the assumptions underlying earnings estimates and why the market may be in for disappointment.
Market Outlooks
What's the Market Missing? Special Edition - The Next Ten Years: What Investors Can Expect
From bonds to equities, real assets to alternatives, our forecasts and return expectations will help guide your asset allocation decisions.
Market Outlooks
Investment Perspective: Taking the Under
As U.S. earnings estimates keep edging up, high expectations could clash with a stalling global economy. How are we positioned?
Market Outlooks
What the S&P 500 Index Rebalance Means for Investors and Index Managers
We analyze the additions, deletions and weighting changes of S&P 500 companies in one of the largest rebalances in years
Market Outlooks
Central Banks in US, England and Japan Hold Rates, US Government Shutdown Looms
Stocks stumble as the Fed leaned toward higher rates for longer in last week’s meeting. The market impact from government shutdowns historically has been limited.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Seizing new regime opportunities
This piece is approved to use with clients.
We see the new regime of greater volatility playing out: higher interest rates, stagnating activity and structural forces set to push inflation back up. Flip-flops in the market narrative make that clear.
Market Outlooks
Student of the Market: September 2023
Stay on top of the changing market environments by learning from their historical parallels.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: New regime fuels narrative flip flops
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We‘re in an unprecedented macro environment that is driving constant shifts in the market narrative: from hopes of avoiding recession to fears good macro news could be bad for markets in just a few months. We see the market moving with data as if we’re in a normal business cycle.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Favoring short-term bonds long term
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Sovereign bond yields have surged this year, with U.S. long-term yields hitting 16-year highs last month. We prefer short-term government bonds over credit. We go underweight high quality credit on a strategic view of five years and longer and trim our overall underweight to sovereign bonds.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: How to Reconcile Dueling Outlooks for U.S. Earnings
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Amid dueling forecasts, we anticipate a slight adjustment in the U.S. equity margins. Gain clarity from Deputy CIO and CIO of Global Equities Michael Hunstad, Ph.D. as he discusses current conditions.