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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Facing heightened uncertainty, the Fed delivers another hike
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The Fed has raised rates by 300 basis points since June, a nearly unprecedented pace of tightening done to combat persistent inflation amid continued strength in the labor market and consumer spending. But markets are worried it will go too far, triggering a recession.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Banking uncertainty weighs heavily on bond markets
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U.S. Treasury yields continued to fall steeply amid heightened economic and financial uncertainty.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields fall on a flight-to-quality rally
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U.S. Treasury yields fell sharply after Silicon Valley Bank surprisingly failed on Friday.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: A blast from the past
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Higher-for-longer interest rates are an important factor in portfolio construction.
Fixed Income Insights
Return of the Bond Market: Better Income Opportunities?
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Most investors incorporate bonds into a portfolio to provide diversification. Unfortunately, a smoother return path has not held true in recent years. But now the market has recalibrated, and yields have reset higher. Higher yields mean higher future returns. And for the first time in a while, you can make the argument that bonds provide true competition to stocks.
Behavioral Finance
Direct Indexing and the IKEA Effect
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The “IKEA effect” describes a cognitive bias that happens when people put in some form of labor to complete a project or finish a creation. Direct indexing won’t solve the behavior gap, but it has the potential to create better investor behaviors by allowing investors to play a larger role in the portfolio-building process.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Quick Thoughts: Is normal really what we want?
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Tighter monetary policy can lead to inverted yield curves, but is a recession inevitable? Thoughts from Head of Franklin Templeton Institute Stephen Dover.