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Market Outlooks
Navigating market risks and opportunities ahead of a recession
With increasing economic uncertainty and market volatility in the first quarter of 2023, the probability of a mild recession beginning in the second half of the year or early next continues to rise.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May FOMC meeting: Powell keeps the market on its toes
After having raised policy rates ten times, by a total of 500 basis points, in just 14 months, the Fed is getting close to wrapping up this tightening cycle—but may not be finished just yet.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May ECB meeting: Hawkish step down, and no pause ahead
The European Central Bank (ECB) raised its three key policy rates for the seventh consecutive time, opting to step-down the increment to 25 basis points (bps)
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
April jobs report: Labor market strength defies Fed tightening
Market response
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: U.S. debt stand-off to add to volatility
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Negotiations to lift the U.S. debt ceiling are heating up. The Treasury hit the $31.4 trillion “ceiling,” or cap on how much debt it can issue, in January.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Commercial real estate: going granular
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The fastest rate hiking cycle since the 1980s is causing financial cracks. This has caused bank turmoil and raised concerns over U.S. commercial real estate due to its high vacancy rates and reliance on bank loans.