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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Mind the (rate expectation) gap
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Markets are pricing in a liftoff from near-zero policy rates as early as next year, even though the Fed through its new framework has committed to stay behind the curve on inflation.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Inflation: beyond near-term volatility
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Inflation looks set to overshoot the Fed’s target as we have expected. Yet we see uncertainties around the near-term persistence of the overshoot as the restart leads to unusual supply and demand dynamics.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we remain pro-risk
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A powerful economic restart is underway in the U.S. – with Europe and emerging markets (EMs) set to follow. At the same time our new nominal theme has been playing out, with a hefty jump in inflation expectations but a more muted rise in nominal yields. Against this backdrop, we reiterate our pro-risk stance and refine our tactical views in response to adjustments in market pricing and valuations.
Market Outlooks
Quick Thoughts: Why Our Managers Disagree On Inflation, Rates, And Growth
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Chief Market Strategist Stephen Dover believes when thinking about fixed income investing, it is important to think beyond rising interest rates and focus on the many ways to obtain total return.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we like emerging market assets
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We see the economic restart and greater stability in U.S. government bond yields - as indicated by our new nominal theme - supporting emerging market assets over coming months. Their valuations appear relatively attractive in a world of low yields after a choppy start to the year.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China's Digital Currency is a Threat to Dollar Dominance
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Why digitalisation of the renminbi will have a durable, transformative impact on the international economy.