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Market Outlooks
The market as a leading indicator…for the market
We frequently write about the stock market as a leading indicator of the real economy. The idea being
the market will anticipate the economic environment to come, rallying in the face of awful economic news and selling off in the face of constructive economic news.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
How the Federal Reserve is like Spike from Happy Days
As a child of the 70s, I have come to embrace a few, eternal truths: disco should have never died; big collars were a good idea, and the Fonz was the coolest guy who ever lived. Speaking of the Fonz, I am reminded of a Happy Days episode featuring Spike, the Fonz’s nephew, and how that episode and Spike can help us all better understand monetary policy today. Seriously.
Business Development
Advisor Profile: How Has COVID-19 Affected Derek Notman's Practice? 'Not at all'
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Derek Notman is a virtual advisor. That doesn't mean he just uses video conferencing to talk with clients. His entire practice is virtual, and he's helping other advisors do the same.
Market Outlooks
How We’re Positioning Portfolios to Outperform
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President and Global Chief Investment Officer Daniel Needham explains how asset valuation allows us to calculate expected returns for the long-term.
Market Outlooks
Our Valuation-Driven Asset Allocation Views Looking Beyond COVID-19
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While we haven’t faced a global pandemic of this kind before and the path to normalization is uncertain, we are encouraged by the aggressive policy response from central banks and governments which we think will be effective in averting a financial crisis. Thus, we think the recent sell-off has created significant opportunities for long-term investors like us. Read our commentary to learn our latest thinking.
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
Inflation and the Merits of an Outcome-Based Strategy
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We save today to spend tomorrow, and at heart, our investments are meant to help increase our future purchasing power. To do so, our returns need to outpace inflation, which can be particularly challenging in uncertain times.
Join Andrew Lill, Americas CIO, and Marta Norton, head of Outcome-Based Strategies, who discuss our current views on inflation and how we design some portfolios to target inflation-plus returns.
Market Outlooks
Where We See Opportunities Ahead
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The news today makes the short-term economic outlook uncertain. Yet, we invest for the long term, not just for the next few months or even years. Given the attractive valuations we saw near the end of the first quarter, we think long-term returns look much better for investors now than they did just three months ago.
Please join our discussion with President and Global Chief Investment Officer Daniel Needham, Co-Head of Target Risk Strategies Dan McNeela, and Head of US Equity Strategies Michael Corty.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Wire: It’s always darkest before the dawn
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It is one thing to understand we are living through an unprecedented, pandemic driven economic downturn, and all together another to learn the US unemployment rate is 14.7% and that 20.5 million of our fellow Americans lost their jobs in April.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Pick a letter, any letter
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We got our first look at Q1 Gross Domestic Product last week, and as expected, it wasn’t pretty. While the Q1 GDP number is subject to revision, it showed the economy contracted (4.8%) Q to Q.
Behavioral Finance
Win the day
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As a child, my father (himself a financial advisor) had a single obsession—paying off our house.
Market Outlooks
Pick a letter, any letter
If one considers that the coronavirus didn’t hit the US economy hard until mid-March, and that our economy has been shut down since, a recession is a foregone conclusion, with Q2 GDP expected to contract about 30% Q to Q
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The SECURE Act: 4 Key Changes Advisors Need to Know About
At the end of last year, Congress passed the SECURE Act as part of the year-end appropriations bill and introduced some big changes to the retirement system in the U.S.
Many people saving for retirement probably will not notice anything all that different. However, financial advisors need to be aware of four key changes, particularly for clients near retirement.