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Market Outlooks
Investment Perspective: All About Rates
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Increasing rates, potential oil disruptions from Middle East tensions, and continuing economic uncertainty, may contribute to market volatility.
Market Outlooks
The Puzzle of the Equity Market’s Reaction to Rising Rates
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Equity index multiples have barely budged with rising interest rates, but rates still are driving returns in most individual stocks. Deputy CIO and CIO of Global Equities Michael Hunstad, Ph.D., examines why this may be happening.
Market Outlooks
How an Escalation of War in Israel May Impact Markets
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Beyond the considerable human toll the war in Israel has already taken, an escalation of the conflict could disrupt the world’s energy supply, damage global economic growth and spark market volatility. Chief Investment Strategist for EMEA and APAC Wouter Sturkenboom, CFA, outlines some scenarios.
Market Outlooks
What’s Behind the Ascent of Long-Term Bond Yields?
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Long-term bond yields have risen about 1.5% over the past six months, including an acceleration in recent weeks that caused equities to stumble. Chief Investment Strategist for North America Chris Shipley explains why the Federal Reserve and inflation likely aren’t to blame higher yields this time.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: U.S. stocks: selective as earnings stall
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Markets expect a pickup in corporate earnings to start in the Q3 reporting season that gets underway in earnest this week.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: U.S. yields: two-way volatility ahead
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We have been underweight long-term U.S. Treasuries since late 2020 as we saw the new macro regime heralding higher rates.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why the structural matters now
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Markets are adjusting to the new regime of greater macro and market volatility, in our view.
Market Outlooks
The High Probability of Recession in Europe Likely Will Burden Equities
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Higher interest rates, rising energy prices and plummeting credit are likely pushing the European economy into recession. Chief Investment Strategist for EMEA and APAC Wouter Sturkenboom, CFA, analyzes the global forces affecting Europe and explains how we’re positioned in our portfolios.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Finding new opportunities as Q4 starts
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Markets are adjusting to the new regime of greater volatility and higher interest rates.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Yields surge as new regime plays out
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Yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries last week briefly rose to 16-year highs above 4.50% as major central banks paused rate hikes but left the door open for more.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Seizing new regime opportunities
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We see the new regime of greater volatility playing out: higher interest rates, stagnating activity and structural forces set to push inflation back up. Flip-flops in the market narrative make that clear.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: New regime fuels narrative flip flops
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We‘re in an unprecedented macro environment that is driving constant shifts in the market narrative: from hopes of avoiding recession to fears good macro news could be bad for markets in just a few months. We see the market moving with data as if we’re in a normal business cycle.