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Market Outlooks
Navigating market risks and opportunities ahead of a recession
With increasing economic uncertainty and market volatility in the first quarter of 2023, the probability of a mild recession beginning in the second half of the year or early next continues to rise.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May FOMC meeting: Powell keeps the market on its toes
After having raised policy rates ten times, by a total of 500 basis points, in just 14 months, the Fed is getting close to wrapping up this tightening cycle—but may not be finished just yet.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May ECB meeting: Hawkish step down, and no pause ahead
The European Central Bank (ECB) raised its three key policy rates for the seventh consecutive time, opting to step-down the increment to 25 basis points (bps)
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
April jobs report: Labor market strength defies Fed tightening
Market response
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Update: Global Stocks Decline as Some U.S. Regional Banks Falter, U.S. Inflation Report Scheduled This Week
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Bank unease resurfaced again last week. U.S. inflation is expected to be flat, while core inflation may fall slightly.
Market Outlooks
Investment Perspective: Approaching Stall Speed
This piece is approved to use with clients.
We favor high yield bonds and natural resource stocks as inflation still shows persistence, earnings expectations deteriorate and worries mount over a stalling U.S. economy.