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Market Outlooks
MarketScape: Investors Still Guessing on Interest Rate Peak
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More inflation surprises and the U.K. market crisis show how changes to the interest rate outlook can quickly move markets.
Market Outlooks
Global Equities Gain, European Central Bank May Increase Rate
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U.S. equity gains led global stocks, as the two-year Treasury yield fell. The European Central Bank is anticipated to boost its rate by 0.75%.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Recession eclipses U.S. midterm result
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Equities usually do well after U.S. midterms. Why? Gridlock is common and prevents policy change that could spook stocks.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: No recession cover in sovereign bonds
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Recession fears are roiling markets. Investors traditionally take cover in sovereign bonds, but we see this recession playbook as obsolete. Why? First, central banks are hiking rates to try to tame inflation, causing recessions.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Infrastructure: taking the long view
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Rapid rate hikes are hitting markets now and will likely spark a recession, but we eventually see central banks stopping and living with inflation.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: We keep risk low amid volatile macro
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We’ve said a period of steady growth and inflation known as the Great Moderation is over – and made this central to our investment views.