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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Investment Strategy Commentary: The X Factor: Evaluating the U.S. Debt Ceiling
A contentious debt ceiling showdown will likely trigger some elevated volatility, but ultimately we expect the U.S. will avert a default.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Update: Global Equities Rise on Central Bank Meetings, Australia May Hike Rate This Week
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The ECB, Fed and Bank of England all increased their rates last week. The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to raise rate by 0.25%.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: Why the Fed and Investors See Rate Path Differently
Investors see a Fed rate cut in 2023. The Fed doesn’t. Head of Global Macro Antulio Bomfim analyzes the clash of views between the Fed and investors, and what could resolve it.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: Why January's Rise May Mask a Riskier Reality
January has all the hallmarks of a classic “junk rally”. Chief Investment Officer of Global Equities Mike Hunstad, Ph.D., reminds investors that some rallies during times of economic stress may not be what they seem.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: Some Hope for Bipartisanship
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With House Speaker Kevin McCarthy slated to meet with President Biden, Washington is fully immersed in debt ceiling drama.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
PodCast: Episode 34: Revenge of the Old Economy
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Low interest rates and a focus on being green led to significant underinvestment in the old economy. Netflix rose and Exxon fell. But we’re now beginning a rotation away from the new economy back to the old, says Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs. In this episode of The Active Share, Jeff tells Hugo how he sees the future of energy, from green tech to oil, from the east to the west—who will win, who will lose, and how investors can prepare.
Market Outlooks
2023: Our U.S. Teams Weigh In
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Tightening monetary policy drove rising 10-year Treasury bond yields and pressured equity valuations in 2022. While impossible to predict what 2023 has in store—especially because interest-rate changes can have a lagged effect on corporate earnings—we asked our U.S. equity teams to weigh in.