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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Mind the (rate expectation) gap
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Markets are pricing in a liftoff from near-zero policy rates as early as next year, even though the Fed through its new framework has committed to stay behind the curve on inflation.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Liquidity: Historic gains lead to marginal drains
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As we entered 2021, we believed the year’s performances and allocations were heavily dependent on inflation and the recalibration many investors would have to take in an elevated inflationary environment.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Inflation: beyond near-term volatility
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Inflation looks set to overshoot the Fed’s target as we have expected. Yet we see uncertainties around the near-term persistence of the overshoot as the restart leads to unusual supply and demand dynamics.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we remain pro-risk
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A powerful economic restart is underway in the U.S. – with Europe and emerging markets (EMs) set to follow. At the same time our new nominal theme has been playing out, with a hefty jump in inflation expectations but a more muted rise in nominal yields. Against this backdrop, we reiterate our pro-risk stance and refine our tactical views in response to adjustments in market pricing and valuations.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Rising rates: good or bad for dividends?
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With interest rates on the move – and consensus believing the trend will continue into 2023 – many investors, especially those searching for income, are grappling with the potential fall-out of rising rates on their portfolios.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Stimulus, household savings, inflation
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The 30,000-foot headline message can read that the stimulus payments to individuals will provide additional monies for essential needs and/or to spend on goods and services that would fuel the recovery of the economy impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. With significantly more cash in the hands of the consumer/household than before the pandemic, along with the trillions of dollars in government spending, it can be argued that the economy is set up for an inflationary period.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we like emerging market assets
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We see the economic restart and greater stability in U.S. government bond yields - as indicated by our new nominal theme - supporting emerging market assets over coming months. Their valuations appear relatively attractive in a world of low yields after a choppy start to the year.
Market Outlooks
Student of the Market: April Edition
Stay on top of changing market environments by learning from their historical parallels.