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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
A Step Ahead: Everyone's Quitting Their Jobs. Good!
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Olga and Hugo explain why the Great Resignation is the wrong story to describe what’s happening in the U.S. labor market. Job turnover is a welcome sign for the economy, and wage increases for low-income workers can boost economic growth.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Beware behavioral bias in new regime
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Investors are strapped in for a market rollercoaster in a new regime of increased volatility. Views on central bank rates are shuffling fast, as last week’s market reaction to the Fed’s rate hike showed.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Expect more volatility after Fed hike
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The Fed is set to raise rates by an additional 0.75% or more this week as it scrambles to raise the fed funds rate into restrictive territory to rein in inflation.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: ECB may limit hikes as recession nears
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The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to lift rates for the first time in over a decade this week.
Market Outlooks
Student of the Market: July 2022
Stay on top of the changing market environments by learning from their historical parallels.
Investing Ideas
Factors, Sectors, Countries: Opportunities in Emerging Markets
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As we entered 2022, many emerging markets were already hurting. Let's take a deeper dive into how we're looking at emerging markets in light of higher commodity prices, rising rates, and the war in Ukraine.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Downgrading stocks, upgrading credit
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We think the Great Moderation is over.