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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
What Happens if the Electoral College is a Tie?
The final set of questions in last night’s presidential debate – if you made it to the end of the 90-minute slugfest – was about the peaceful transition of power, and whether there would be one on January 20, 2020, inauguration day.
Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts - September 28th, 2020
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The S&P 500’s recent sell off and recovery cycle was one of the fastest in history, taking only six months to complete.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The Fight to Replace RBG
After a career of service as a distinguished jurist and, later in life, a cultural icon, Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg passed away on Friday, September 18, in the early hours of Rosh Hashanah, the Jewish new year.
Market Outlooks
Turning up the heat on a boiling pot
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The passing of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has created a vacancy in the U.S. Supreme Court with only weeks until the November election. As the country awaits President Trump’s nominee, pundits on both sides of the aisle are claiming this process will strengthen their election chances. We see this process as primarily exacerbating the partisanship of U.S. voters and it is unclear which party will able to drive greater voter turnout or sway more independents
Fixed Income Insights
Interest rates: Lower for longer...or forever?
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On September 16, 2020, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates near zero and signaled that it expects to hold them there through at least 2023, adding outcome based guidance. The statement follows the new long-term policy framework announced by Chair Jay Powell in August at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s annual Jackson Hole conference. The Fed notes that rates will remain near zero “until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with the Committee’s assessments of maximum employment and inflation has risen to 2 percent and is on track to moderately exceed 2 percent for some time.” We didn’t get a precise definition of what a moderate overshoot would look like, allowing the Fed to retain some flexibility.
Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts - September 22nd, 2020
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There are significant differences in the sector exposures of U.S. and developed international stock indices. U.S. investors may consider looking abroad as a way to diversify their portfolios.
Market Outlooks
Weekly RIA Pulse Report - September 11, 2020
Report Contents
Cash Levels Index
Risk Sentiment Sums
Risk Sentiment Volume
Advisor Activity Sums
Advisor Activity Volume
Client Contributions
Client Growth
MF / ETF Style Winners & Losers
MF / ETF Winners & Losers
Stock Winners & Losers
Disclosure
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The Payroll Holiday That Isn’t
Amidst a stalemate between the two parties on Capitol Hill regarding additional COVID-related legislation, President Donald Trump on August 8 issued an executive memorandum policy that said U.S. workers would not have to pay their Social Security payroll taxes from September 1, 2020 until December 31, 2020.
Market Outlooks
Trends in Advisor Behavior During Market Volatility - Week of September 7, 2020
Cash allocations remained largely unchanged from the prior week closing at 3.98% from 3.93% the prior week.