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Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise as the Fed leans hawkish
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U.S. Treasury yields rose again as U.S. economic growth remains strong and U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Powell delivered hawkish comments at the Jackson Hole conference.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Post-Jackson, it’s time to start filling duration holes
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With the anticipated end of the U.S. rate hiking cycle as a backdrop, we analyzed the returns of the broad bond market versus short-term Treasuries during historical periods when the Fed paused (Figure 2).
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Primary Debates Past and Present
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With apologies for being the bearer of bad news, the 2024 election is upon us. Officially. Tonight marks the first Republican primary debate of the presidential election cycle...
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Economic data continue boosting Treasury yields
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10-year U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise as economic data remain very strong. The closely watched U.S. GDP forecast from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta has risen to 5.8% annualized quarter-over-quarter growth.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Where to invest if consumer strength fades
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A potential softening in consumer strength over the next few quarters could determine whether or not the U.S. economy falls into recession.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Are “Junk Fees” A Winning Election Issue?
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If July was Republicans’ “ESG Month,” August (and potentially everything after, at least until next November) might just be Democrats’ “Junk Fee Month.”
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
AOR Update: When to expect a recession?
ClearBridge Investments: Despite improving economic sentiment now leaning the consensus view toward a soft landing, we continue to believe a recession is on the horizon.