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Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Oasis or mirage? Equities ponder the economic horizon
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Our base case calls for a continued deceleration of inflation through the first half of next year, although it should remain elevated and well above the Fed’s 2% target.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: 5 Questions
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China’s future growth is uncertain amid risks stemming from domestic issues (structural, economic, and societal), increased tensions with the United States, and deglobalization. And that has investors wondering about the outlook for Chinese equities. Here are the top five questions investors ask us—and how we respond.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
What's Driving U.S. Dollar Strength
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As of mid-October, the U.S. dollar was trading at levels not seen since the early 2000s, when the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), under then-chairman Alan Greenspan, was raising interest rates to respond to a rapidly growing economy. In the past year, the U.S. dollar index, which compares the dollar with a basket of currencies, has risen more than 20%, the largest 12-month increase since 2015.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise amid positive economic data
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U.S. Treasury yields rose and the curve flattened in response to positive U.S. economic data and hawkish comments about monetary policy from U.S. Federal Reserve officials.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: When will bonds act like bonds again?
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Investment grade fixed income (both U.S. aggregate bonds and municipals) have historically shown they usually deliver positive total returns in periods of negative equity market returns.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Favorable inflation data send Treasury rates lower
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U.S. Treasury yields fell sharply after October inflation numbers came in lower than expected for only the third time since the start of 2021.