report by BlackRock
Results for ""
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Fiscal boost is not a market risk – yet
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The prospect of another large U.S. fiscal package has fed debates about potential economic overheating. We believe central banks for now have strong incentives to lean against any rapid rise in nominal yields even as inflation rises, supporting our tactically pro-risk stance. Yet rising debt levels may eventually pose risks to the low-rate regime. This is part of why we strategically underweight government debt.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we favor tech and healthcare
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The pandemic has turbocharged transformations that were already under way – from sustainability to inequality. Yet markets have not fully priced in the durability of these trends, we believe, even with the glimpse into the future offered by the pandemic.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Valuation: not a worry for now
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Equity valuations have been top of mind after major stock indexes have scaled new highs. Last week’s volatile market moves as a result of technical deleveraging added fuel to these concerns. We do not see risk asset valuations as obviously stretched overall, and expect low interest rates – and a vaccine-led restart – to support risk assets over the next six to 12 months.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: The new nominal takes shape
This piece is approved to use with clients.
We have long flagged the potential for higher inflation in the medium term, and markets have awoken to this prospect amid expectations for large U.S. fiscal stimulus. We don’t see this derailing the risk asset rally in the near term.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: The new nominal, accelerated
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The Democrats’ newly gained majority in U.S. Congress paves the way for greater public spending but the narrow margin limits the scope for higher taxes, in our view. We expect this outcome to speed up “the new nominal”, or our expectations for stronger growth coupled with stable nominal yields, even as a more infectious virus strain threatens to make the path to a full activity restart more bumpy.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Three investing lessons from 2020
This piece is approved to use with clients.
2020 was an extraordinary year for financial markets. The initial Covid shock triggered a massive selloff, followed by a risk rally that extended to the year end.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Positioning for the new nominal
This piece is approved to use with clients.
A key consequence of this year’s policy revolution is the potential for a more muted response of nominal yields to higher inflation, in our view. This means investors should start positioning their long-term portfolios for this new dynamic now, in our view.