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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Coronavirus worry clouds markets
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The coronavirus outbreak emanating from China has sent jitters across financial markets amid fears of a hit to the global economy. We still expect growth to edge higher in 2020 thanks to easier financial conditions and trade tensions going sideways, yet the unknown magnitude and duration of the outbreak pose downside risks.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: U.S. dollar underpins EM assets
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We see the U.S. dollar stabilizing or weakening over the next six to 12 months. Two broad drivers – monetary policy differentials and risk appetite – decide the dollar’s moves, in our view.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: A cyclical rotation
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Markets have greeted the new year with optimism. The signing of a limited “Phase 1” deal between the U.S. and China reinforces our expectation for global trade tensions to take a pause in 2020.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Geopolitical risks on our 2020 radar
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U.S.-Iran tensions have spiked in recent weeks with the U.S. killing of a top Iranian military leader triggering retaliation. This reminds us of still heightened geopolitical risks across many dimensions, even as we see a relatively benign backdrop for risk assets in 2020.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Is America Ready for an All-Female Presidential Ticket?
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At a recent town hall event in Charleston, S.C.—the state that will hold, in just three months, the fourth nominating contest in the Democratic presidential primary contest—an attendee asked Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) whether Americans are “ready” for an all-female presidential ticket.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
An Impeachment Primer
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Moments ago, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), flanked by the chairs of the committees of jurisdiction over the House’s impeachment inquiry over the last several months (Oversight, Intelligence, Ways and Means, Financial Services, and Judiciary) announced her intention to have the House consider two articles of impeachment against President Trump. I thought I’d provide a quick primer on what’s happened this morning and what we can expect in the days and weeks ahead.